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Omnibus Politics Thread: Campaign 2016 EditionFollow

#927 Apr 01 2016 at 1:10 PM Rating: Excellent
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The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
Edit: You know, I have to wonder what exactly they're counting as an abortion. Guess I'm gonna have to do more research.
Yeah seems like that's a surprisingly hard thing to get a nail on, with the various non-surgical methods available now. By any case though it seems the numbers are dropping, likely both due to more restrictions in some areas, and better forms of birth control. So while it may have been around 28% in 2008, it will probably drop fairly significantly in coming years, since it seems like rates among younger women are maybe half (?) of what they were a couple of decades ago? That higher rate in the 1980's and early 1990's seems to be mostly what's keeping the numbers up.

Also, annoying to work out stuff when half of these things are listing overall numbers and half are using rates. I didn't want to math today. Smiley: mad

Edited, Apr 1st 2016 12:24pm by someproteinguy
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#928 Apr 01 2016 at 2:50 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Heh, insert.
someproteinguy wrote:
Professor stupidmonkey wrote:
someproteinguy wrote:
and female swing voters are going to have a hard time swallowing the idea that 1/4 of them are criminals.
Insert inappropriate oral *** joke here
Pfft, there's no such things as an inappropriate oral *** joke. Smiley: sly

Well, the joke I was going to put down was "If they could have gotten over their hard time swallowing, there would have been no need for an abortion, but, it's crass.
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#929 Apr 01 2016 at 5:13 PM Rating: Default
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Someproteinguy wrote:
I can assure you that the failure rate of those (and really most common birth control methods) over the lifetime of a long term relationship is sufficient to yield multiple opportunities for an abortion.
I'm not saying that's not true, but that doesn't seem true at all. I would bet if condoms were really that inefficient (vs improper usage), there would be a much higher abortion rate. I would also argue that the "pull out method" is the most common birth control followed by the "Spray and Pray" method.
#930 Apr 01 2016 at 5:23 PM Rating: Excellent
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Almalieque wrote:
"Spray and Pray" method.

Smiley: um
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#931 Apr 02 2016 at 2:08 AM Rating: Good
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I was looking up something just now related to a whole different thing and came across something interesting. Apparently the "Drink Mountain Dew" method was very popular for a while. Which brings me back to my earlier point.

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We REALLY need to start teaching idiots about condom use.
#932 Apr 02 2016 at 11:46 AM Rating: Good
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Apparently the "DC Madam" client list is online, ready to be revealed in a day or two. And "will affect the presidential race".

So Cruz will be on there? Or maybe Bernie? Or Hillary...
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#933 Apr 02 2016 at 12:28 PM Rating: Excellent
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Cruz was too busy with his five mistresses to have time to bang hookers.
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#934 Apr 02 2016 at 12:58 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Cruz was too busy with his five mistresses to have time to bang hookers.

I just figured the two were one in the same.
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#935 Apr 02 2016 at 12:59 PM Rating: Good
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#936 Apr 02 2016 at 1:01 PM Rating: Good
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The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
Maybe Romney?

Well, that wouldn't rock the elections. And he's Mormon, so isn't that OK?
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#937 Apr 02 2016 at 1:28 PM Rating: Excellent
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Well, I guess all the buzz if you Google "DC Madam" (I was trying to remember how long ago that whole thing was) centers around Cruz.

Even if it is tied to Cruz, I don't know if it'll make a difference. These are the same voters who made Sanford a congressman after he abandoned his wife and children without a word to go fuck some Argentinian broad and who re-elected Vitter (already part of the DC Madam scandal). What the conservative GOP preaches and what they actually live by are two very different things.

Edited, Apr 2nd 2016 2:34pm by Jophiel
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#938 Apr 02 2016 at 1:45 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Even if it is tied to Cruz, I don't know if it'll make a difference.
It's making a huge difference on my ability to eat. Ugh.
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#939 Apr 02 2016 at 2:09 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
Even if it is tied to Cruz, I don't know if it'll make a difference.
It's making a huge difference on my ability to eat. Ugh.
GOP weight loss program?
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#940 Apr 02 2016 at 6:22 PM Rating: Good
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TirithRR wrote:
Apparently the "DC Madam" client list is online, ready to be revealed in a day or two. And "will affect the presidential race".

So Cruz will be on there? Or maybe Bernie? Or Hillary...
Bill would be the obvious option here.
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#941 Apr 02 2016 at 6:51 PM Rating: Good
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Uglysasquatch wrote:
TirithRR wrote:
Apparently the "DC Madam" client list is online, ready to be revealed in a day or two. And "will affect the presidential race".

So Cruz will be on there? Or maybe Bernie? Or Hillary...
Bill would be the obvious option here.
That one's too easy. And doesn't have any shock value.
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#942 Apr 03 2016 at 12:21 AM Rating: Good
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TirithRR wrote:
The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
Maybe Romney?

Well, that wouldn't rock the elections. And he's Mormon, so isn't that OK?
Might put a damper on GOP efforts to bring down Trump, was my thought. Cruz might even have to denounce him.
#943 Apr 04 2016 at 7:50 AM Rating: Good
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Nah, much like last election Romney is a complete nonissue.
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#944 Apr 04 2016 at 11:21 AM Rating: Excellent
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Almalieque wrote:
I would bet if condoms were really that inefficient (vs improper usage)
The "vs. improper usage" part is probably the catch.

You have a common form of birth control like the pill which might have to be taken about the same time every day to be fully effective. If a couple is having sex on a regular basis there's a reasonable likelihood that forgetting to take a pill, or taking one outside of the normal hours, will increase your chance of pregnancy. Now you have a couple in a relationship for ~20 years or so, with all of the various problems that can cause someone to forget about that little pill (sickness, family emergencies, just a long day, already existing kids, other various stressful events, etc.). Given the longer amount of time I'd argue that some kind of birth control failure (either human error or failure of the method itself) is probably inevitable.

Now that doesn't necessarily mean an abortion, of course (either inside or outside of a long term relationship), but a pregnancy which may or may not lead to one. All in all it's just a lot of time to go without screwing anything thing up. Anecdotally talking to other parents, it's kind of the open secret. Kids still aren't "planned" per-se, just with various birth control methods the failure rate (including human error) is just at the point now where a lot of people will "end-up" with 2-3ish kids spread over several years before doing something more permanent.

The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
I was looking up something just now related to a whole different thing and came across something interesting. Apparently the "Drink Mountain Dew" method was very popular for a while. Which brings me back to my earlier point.

Quote:
We REALLY need to start teaching idiots about condom use.
Well now that it's been put into that perspective, I whole-heatedly agree. Smiley: lol

Edit: yay for censoring "screwing" Smiley: rolleyes

Edited, Apr 4th 2016 10:50am by someproteinguy
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#945 Apr 04 2016 at 5:13 PM Rating: Default
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SPG wrote:
You have a common form of birth control like the pill which might have to be taken about the same time every day to be fully effective. If a couple is having sex on a regular basis there's a reasonable likelihood that forgetting to take a pill, or taking one outside of the normal hours, will increase your chance of pregnancy. Now you have a couple in a relationship for ~20 years or so, with all of the various problems that can cause someone to forget about that little pill (sickness, family emergencies, just a long day, already existing kids, other various stressful events, etc.). Given the longer amount of time I'd argue that some kind of birth control failure (either human error or failure of the method itself) is probably inevitable.

Now that doesn't necessarily mean an abortion, of course (either inside or outside of a long term relationship), but a pregnancy which may or may not lead to one. All in all it's just a lot of time to go without ******** anything thing up. Anecdotally talking to other parents, it's kind of the open secret. Kids still aren't "planned" per-se, just with various birth control methods the failure rate (including human error) is just at the point now where a lot of people will "end-up" with 2-3ish kids spread over several years before doing something more permanent.


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#946 Apr 05 2016 at 8:39 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I don't really get what all the Republican horror and backpedaling from this is about. How many times have I had to listen to "Oh, you support MURDERING BABIES??" when Republicans talked about abortion? So, if they feel that "murdering babies" is terrible and wrong, why NOT punish the woman who decided to go have a baby murdered? Why would you only go after the doctor? That's like arresting a hit man but not the person who hired him to murder someone.


I'm a bit late to this party, but my assumption is that there was a bit of a telephone game that went on with this one. When Trump was giving his answer to Matthews, they were talking hypothetically about illegal abortion, and whether women should be punished for obtaining one. But the actual question asked dropped the word "illegal" (which I'm sure was just a total oversight on Matthews part, lol!). So if you read the transcript from the interview, it read fine, but if you played say just a clip showing the one question and the one answer, it sounded like Trump was saying that he would punish women for having an abortion, period. Legal or not. Which is how it was repeated in the media and especially on social media ("Trump wants to punish women who have an abortion!!").

Other Republicans were responding to that narrative, often without knowing the context either. So, when pressed to give an opinion on what Trump said (and knowing only the clip, and not the context), they condemned it. Didn't help that many of them will leap at the chance to bash Trump a bit, as well.

I don't know if there are many conservatives/republicans who would disagree that if a woman actively seeks out an illegal abortion, she should be punished. This was a case of thinking the issue was something other than it is.

Quote:
I suppose it's like the "rape and incest" exemption. "Oh, it's absolutely MURDER to have an abortion but it's okay to murder babies conceived from rape. They... don't really count?"


This is actually one I agree with you on. And I've stated several times in the past myself. I've never liked, or even really understood the exception. Whatever point in a pregnancy you believe that the fetus/whatever is sufficiently developed to have a right to live that outweighs the woman's right to control her body, that's the point an abortion should be illegal in your opinion. How the baby was conceived shouldn't matter. Of course, it does from a political standpoint, because if you don't make such concessions, you'll get an endless stream of sad faced people bemoaning your lack of care about rape and incest victims.

Politics is not always logical. Hell. Just look at Trump.

Edited, Apr 6th 2016 1:32pm by gbaji
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#947 Apr 05 2016 at 8:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I don't know if there are many conservatives/republicans who would disagree that if a woman actively seeks out an illegal abortion, she should be punished.

That would be exactly what people were saying. Apparently there's a whole frame of mind that the woman seeking an abortion is, in reality, a "second victim" of the evil abortion doctors.
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#949 Apr 06 2016 at 6:55 AM Rating: Good
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There are plenty of problems with punishing women for abortions beyond that the largely ignored fact that it doesn't reduce the abortion rate. Out of necessity every miscarriage must be investigated.

Edited, Apr 6th 2016 7:56am by Allegory
#950 Apr 06 2016 at 7:39 AM Rating: Good
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Allegory wrote:
There are plenty of problems with punishing women for abortions beyond that the largely ignored fact that it doesn't reduce the abortion rate.
"We're trying to protect women by making them seek more dangerous measures."
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#951 Apr 06 2016 at 3:06 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
I don't know if there are many conservatives/republicans who would disagree that if a woman actively seeks out an illegal abortion, she should be punished.

That would be exactly what people were saying. Apparently there's a whole frame of mind that the woman seeking an abortion is, in reality, a "second victim" of the evil abortion doctors.


Hence my statement that politics is not always logical. The reasons listed in those links ranged from it being the equivalent of granting immunity for the accomplice so as to go after the more serious offender, to women being so lied to about abortion for generations that they think they're just having the equivalent of a cancer removed, to just plain recognizing that it doesn't sell well politically coming from a "side" of the issue already under attack for being anti-women. Perhaps I should channel Trump for a moment here (ewww!) and clarify my statement a bit more. If a woman knowingly seeks out an abortion, which she knows is illegal, and she knows is going to result in the murder of an otherwise healthy fetus, and she knows this is murder of a human life, then yes, she should be punished.

Should this be exceptionally rare? Absolutely. We get that most of the time, women seek abortions out of a combination of the factors mentioned in the articles you linked. But we also know that every once in a while a woman tosses her live infant in a trash bin to die, despite having options up to and including "drop it on a church doorstep" as alternatives. And in the cases where the abortion she seeks is the equivalent of that act, killing a human life when she knows there are other alternatives that could free her of the responsibility of parenting, then yes, I think she should be punished. Obviously, from a pro-life perspective, one would seek to make abortion illegal and then go after those who perform abortions, hoping to eliminate the industry at the source. But we don't live in a society that holds a pro-life stance on abortion. Which means we kinda should look at not just the act of seeking an abortion, but the specifics of that act, and the motivation behind it.

I guess my concern is that we might make the old "back alley abortion", which was largely a myth in the lead up to Roe v. Wade, into a reality. Let's imagine a scenario where we have made abortion illegal (or even just certain types, under certain conditions and time frames). And let's imagine we've done a great job enforcing this to the point where no licensed physician will perform any abortion that falls outside the law. Now let's imagine a woman who finds herself wanting one that is illegal. Maybe she waited too long, and it's now too late for an elective abortion. She's perfectly healthy. The fetus is perfectly healthy. But she wants it gone anyway. But no doctor will perform the procedures. You can't imagine a black market for this service emerging? Cause I certainly can. And in a world where after decades of going after drug dealers hasn't put a dent in that trade, I don't think laws that only punish the practitioner of the procedure will work. There'll be a long line of medical school drop outs, or just random people with little or no medical knowledge at all, willing to perform a high risk, highly illegal procedure on a woman, for sufficient cash.

Is the woman in this scenario also a victim? Yes, I suppose she is. She's wiling to risk her life (and pay for the privilege), to get rid of a burden. I'm not sure what kind of mental state or home situation one would have to be in to make that kind of decision, but again... babies in trash bins. It happens. And if the threat of legal punishment in addition to the other risks may tip that decision away from that choice, maybe it's worth doing? Dunno. I don't see a good outcome in any direction with this. But I don't want to blithely discount the possibility of an action taken with blatant disregard for life either.

According to a couple of your links, it was a crime for the woman in 20 states prior to the Roe v. Wade decision (and that's a decent percentage of the states that still banned abortion at the time anyway IIRC). They just practiced discretion in terms of enforcing it. Which I think is wise.
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